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Democrat Alex Sink has gained ground against Republican Rick Scott in the race for Governor since October first. The Quinnipiac poll of likely voters has the race as a dead heat, 44 for Sink to Scott’s 45%, but as Mike Vasilinda tells us, the race could hinge on who the public believes did better in private business.

Quinnipiac says Sink is up one percent since October first, while Scott is down four points.

“The difference is independents. Independents we’re leaning to Mr. Scott in the last poll. Now, they seem to be leaning more to Ms Sink,” said Peter Brown, Quinnipiac Pollster.

Pollster Peter Brown says the race may come down to who voters believe did a better job in private business.

“Almost nine out of ten Florida likely voters say that they think how someone behaved in business is very or somewhat important,” said Brown.

The poll numbers may also explain why Sink launched this two minute ad about Scott’s business dealings.

“A whistle blower revealed that Scott’s company was cooking the books. Refusing to cooperate, Rick Scott gave a deposition in which he invoked the Fifth Amendment 75 times,” the ad states.

The poll numbers did not surprise Sink, who in her day job as CFO, rejected 190 thousand dollars in lavish spending on a Tallahassee courthouse dubbed the Taj Mahal.

“This is imported African Mahogany. There are twenty miles of this mahogany in this building,” said Scott.

The poll also suggests that your perception of the economy on the day you vote could turn the race. If you think its getting better, you are likely to support Sink. But right now those numbers are in the minority.

“More people think the economy is getting worse than think the economy is getting better,” said Brown.

The poll says 86 percent have made up their mind, but that 13 percent, equally split between Sink and Scott, might change their minds. Attorney General Bill McCollum, who lost the GOP primary to Rick Scott still has not endorsed Scott, but today said he is moving closer to voting for the former health care executive.